Kiel institute reports flags sharp drop in Europe’s Ukraine support
“Based on the data available through October, Europe has not been able to sustain the momentum of the first half of 2025,” said Christoph Trebesch, head of the Ukraine Support Tracker. “The recent slowdown makes it difficult for Europe to fully offset the absence of US military aid in 2025.”
At the current pace, total European military aid allocations for 2025 may reach their lowest level since the Russia-Ukraine war began in 2022. While annual allocations averaged roughly €41.6 billion ($48.4 billion) from 2022 to 2024, only €32.5 billion ($37.8 billion) has been allocated so far this year.
Among major European economies, France, Germany, and the UK increased their military allocations substantially compared to 2022–2024. Germany nearly tripled its average monthly allocations, while France and the UK each more than doubled theirs. However, these increases remained well below the proportional support provided by Nordic countries, with Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden continuing to lead Europe in military assistance relative to GDP.
In contrast, Italy and Spain contributed comparatively little to Ukraine’s defense efforts.
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